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Championship header 2

Championship

Attendance: 27,984
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
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DerbyDerby County
4-0
StokeStoke City

Waghorn (21'), Martin (24'), Rooney (67'), Bogle (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Match Report

Stoke were a shadow of the side that had gone four games unbeaten.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%).

Result
Derby CountyDrawStoke City
40.5%25.81%33.68%
Both teams to score 54.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29%49.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28%71.72%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.75%24.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.39%58.61%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89%28.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.22%63.78%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 40.5%
    Stoke City 33.68%
    Draw 25.81%
Derby CountyDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 9.66%
2-1 @ 8.68%
2-0 @ 6.84%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.14%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 6.82%
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.65%
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-2 @ 5.49%
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 2.32%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.68%