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Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 4, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Krasnodar

Sevilla
3 - 2
Krasnodar

Rakitic (42'), En-Nesyri (69', 72')
Kounde (16'), Oscar (50')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Suleymanov (17'), Berg (21' pen.)
Spertsyan (51'), Pantaleao (59'), Berg (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Sevilla and FC Krasnodar, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 11.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.58%) and 3-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.53%), while for a FC Krasnodar win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawFC Krasnodar
64.01%24.53%11.45%
Both teams to score 31.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.4%65.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.69%84.3%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34%20.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.76%53.23%
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.32%60.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9%90.99%
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 64%
    FC Krasnodar 11.45%
    Draw 24.53%
SevillaDrawFC Krasnodar
1-0 @ 19.76%
2-0 @ 15.58%
3-0 @ 8.2%
2-1 @ 7.79%
3-1 @ 4.09%
4-0 @ 3.23%
4-1 @ 1.61%
3-2 @ 1.02%
5-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 64%
0-0 @ 12.53%
1-1 @ 9.88%
2-2 @ 1.95%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 6.26%
1-2 @ 2.47%
0-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 11.45%

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