Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 28, 2020 at 5.55pm UK

Stadion FK Krasnodar

Krasnodar
0 - 4
Chelsea

Olsson (22'), Martynovich (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hudson-Odoi (37'), Werner (76' pen.), Ziyech (79'), Pulisic (90')

Reaction

Chelsea manager Frank Lampard pictured on July 7, 2020

Frank Lampard lavishes praise on Hakim Ziyech after Krasnodar win

Morocco winger Hakim Ziyech capped a fine full debut with a goal in Russia on Wednesday as the Blues coasted to their first Champions League Group E win.

Oct 29, 11:08

Chelsea manager Frank Lampard pictured o October 17, 2020

Frank Lampard to discuss penalty options with Chelsea players

The Blues were comfortable winners against Krasnodar but the Italy midfielder's spot-kick failure raises questions going forward.

Oct 28, 21:06

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
FC Krasnodar	Draw	Chelsea
24.36%	24.34%	51.3%

Both teams to score 53.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.47%

48.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.35%

70.65%

FC Krasnodar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.66%

34.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.96%

71.04%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.09%

18.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.59%

50.4%

Score Analysis

FC Krasnodar 24.36%

Chelsea 51.29%

Draw 24.34%

FC Krasnodar	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 6.94% 2-1 @ 6.18% 2-0 @ 3.71% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.17% Total : 24.36%	1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.34%	0-1 @ 10.81% 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-2 @ 9% 1-3 @ 5.34% 0-3 @ 5% 2-3 @ 2.86% 1-4 @ 2.23% 0-4 @ 2.08% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.16% Total : 51.29%