Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 23, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
4 - 0
Juventus

Chalobah (25'), James (56'), Hudson-Odoi (58'), Werner (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cuadrado (23')

Reaction

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Juventus
37.29%	26.22%	36.49%

Both teams to score 53.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.86%

51.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.02%

72.98%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.36%

26.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.12%

61.88%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.9%

27.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.51%

62.49%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 37.29%

Juventus 36.49%

Draw 26.22%

Chelsea	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 8.25% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.29%	1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 9.43% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 6.15% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.05% Total : 36.49%