Champions League
Jul 28, 2026 7.15pm
2
2
ET Stadion Z'dežele
  • Mario Kvesic 34' goal
  • Papa Daniel 68' yellowcard
  • Yaya Dukuly 73' yellowcard
  • Mario Kvesic 97' goal
  • Alpha Diounkou 100' yellowcard
  • Artemijus Tutyškinas 115' yellowcard
  • goal Darko Hrka 21' (OG)
  • yellowcard Fernando Medeiros 81'
  • yellowcard Ildi Gruda 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Guillem Jaime 90'+3'
  • goal Geralb Smajli 114'

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celje

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 8.00pm
Egnatia Rrogozhine 3 - 3 Celje

Egnatia Rrogozhine

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 8.00pm
Egnatia Rrogozhine 3 - 3 Celje

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for Egnatia Rrogozhine had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Egnatia Rrogozhine win was 0-1 (7.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Celje 49.69% (-0.04)
Draw 24.4%
Egnatia Rrogozhine 25.9% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.58%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.93% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 25.07% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 51.11% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.89% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.81% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 71.19% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 16.67% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 83.33% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Celje 37.82% (-0.03)
Draw 41.5%
Egnatia Rrogozhine 20.68% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Celje 55.38%
No Goal 7.14%
Egnatia Rrogozhine 37.48%

Corners

Over 8 54.59% (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.54%
Under 8 33.87% (-0.04)
Over 9 43.11% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.47%
Under 9 45.41% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 32.62% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 67.38% (-0.03)

Celje Goals

Over 1.5 46.83% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 53.17% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 21.83% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.17% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.2%
Under 3.5 91.8%

Egnatia Rrogozhine Goals

Over 0.5 60.91% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 39.09% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 27.57% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 72.43% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.25% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.75% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.67%
Under 3.5 97.33%

Score analysis

Celje 49.69%
Draw 24.4%
Egnatia Rrogozhine 25.9%
Celje
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.73% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.68% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.18%
Total : 49.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.14%
2-2 @ 4.97% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 24.4%
Egnatia Rrogozhine
0-1 @ 7.3% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.28% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.02%
1-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.61% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 25.9%

Head to Head

Champions League
Jul 22, 2026 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Egnatia
  • Eneo Bitri 7' goal
  • Eljon Sota 56' yellowcard
  • Fernando Medeiros 58' goal
  • Nevil Dede 68' yellowcard
  • Arbenit Xhemajli 73' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Diabaté 78' goal
  • goal Mario Kvesic 45'
  • goal Armandas Kučys 54'
  • yellowcard Vítor Campelos 61'
  • goal Mario Kvesic 66'
  • yellowcard Papa Daniel 71'