CAF Champions League
Oct 24, 2026 6.00pm
Stade Amahoro

Al Merreikh vs Horoya - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Merreikh

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 5.00pm
Horoya 1 - 0 Al Merreikh

Horoya

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 5.00pm
Horoya 1 - 0 Al Merreikh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al Merreikh win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw has a probability of 20.76% and a win for Horoya has a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Merreikh win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.3%) , while for a Horoya win it is 0-1 (5.66%).

Result

Al Merreikh 62.26% ▼ (-0.32)
Draw 20.76% ▼ (-0.14)
Horoya 16.99% ▲ (+0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.82% ▲ (+0.67)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.63% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 27.37% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 49.23% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 50.77% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 28.44% ▲ (+2.00)
Under 3.5 71.56% ▼ (-2.00)
Over 4.5 18.42% ▲ (+1.25)
Under 4.5 81.58% ▼ (-1.25)

First Half Winner

Al Merreikh 39.46% ▼ (-1.61)
Draw 44.68% ▲ (+1.84)
Horoya 15.86% ▼ (-0.24)

Team To Score First

Al Merreikh 62.63% ▼ (-2.00)
No Goal 8.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Horoya 29.22% ▲ (+1.99)

Corners

Over 8 51.25% ▼ (-4.80)
Equal 8 11.08% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 8 37.66% ▲ (+5.22)
Over 9 40.49% ▼ (-4.00)
Equal 9 10.76% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 9 48.75% ▲ (+4.80)
Over 10.5 30.83% ▼ (-3.00)
Under 10.5 69.17% ▲ (+2.99)

Al Merreikh Goals

Over 1.5 53.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 46.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 28.14% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 71.86% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 12.93%
Under 3.5 87.07%

Horoya Goals

Over 0.5 46.86% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 0.5 53.14% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 1.5 17.16% ▲ (+0.99)
Under 1.5 82.84% ▼ (-0.98)
Over 2.5 5.16% ▲ (+0.80)
Under 2.5 94.84% ▼ (-0.80)
Over 3.5 1.57% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 3.5 98.43% ▼ (-0.37)

Score analysis

Al Merreikh 62.25%
Draw 20.76%
Horoya 17%
Al Merreikh
1-0 @ 13.57% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 11.57% ▲ (+0.16)
2-1 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.60)
3-0 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.87)
3-1 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.48)
3-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.47)
Other @ 12.92%
Total : 62.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.22)
0-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.76%
Horoya
0-1 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.33)
0-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.32)
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.38)
Total : 17%

Head to Head

CAF Champions League
Oct 18, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade du 28 Septembre
  • Yakhouba Barry 45' goal