CAF Champions League
Oct 18, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade du 28 Septembre
  • Yakhouba Barry 45' goal

Horoya vs Al Merreikh - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Horoya

All competitions

Al Merreikh

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Merreikh win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.27% and a win for Horoya had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Merreikh win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.03%) , while for a Horoya win it was 1-0 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Horoya 22% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 27.27% ▲ (+0.06)
Al Merreikh 50.74% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.88%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.76% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 34.24% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 40.29% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 59.71% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 20.5% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 79.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 11.54% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 88.46% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Horoya 20.47%
Draw 52.86%
Al Merreikh 26.67%

Team To Score First

Horoya 39.28% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 12.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Al Merreikh 48.69% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 29.42%
Equal 8 9.68%
Under 8 60.9%
Over 9 21.6%
Equal 9 7.81%
Under 9 70.58%
Over 10.5 15.71%
Under 10.5 84.29%

Horoya Goals

Over 1.5 18.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 81.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 4.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 95.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.55%
Under 3.5 98.45%

Al Merreikh Goals

Over 0.5 72.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 27.1% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 41.76% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 58.24% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 19.38% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 80.62% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.13% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Horoya 22%
Draw 27.28%
Al Merreikh 50.74%
Horoya
1-0 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 4.94%
2-0 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 22%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.03% ▲ (+0.03)
1-1 @ 11.65% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.36%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.28%
Al Merreikh
0-1 @ 13.33% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-3 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 50.74%