Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for CR Belouizdad had a probability of 12.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.67%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.47%), while for a CR Belouizdad win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.