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Brazil national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 22, 2022 at 1am UK
 
Argentina national football team

Brazil
P-P
Argentina

Preview: Brazil vs. Argentina - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Brazil and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

In a rematch of this summer's Copa America final, Brazil and Argentina will square off on Sunday in World Cup Qualifying action.

The visitors secured the title with a 1-0 victory in Brazil, but the hosts sit in the better position in the qualifying group with a perfect record from their seven games.


Match preview

Brazil's Eder Militao celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on June 27, 2021© Reuters

Brazil were knocked out of the 2018 World Cup at the quarter-final stage, as they suffered a 2-1 defeat at the hands of Belgium, and they will be keen to return in style next year.

The Selecao bounced back by winning the Copa America the following year, defeating Peru 3-1 in the final, before they started the new World Cup Qualifying campaign in style with consecutive wins over Bolivia, Peru, Venezuela, Uruguay, Ecuador and Paraguay.

That led them into this year's Copa America tournament, and Tite's men looked relatively strong throughout, battling their way to the final with hard-fought wins over Chile and Peru, only to fall short on home turf to Sunday's opponents in the final.

In their first competitive game since that loss, Brazil picked up their seventh straight World Cup Qualifying win on Friday, as Everton Ribeiro netted the only goal of the game in a 1-0 away victory over Chile.

They will now look to extend that to eight consecutive victories and gain revenge on their major rivals for the Copa America defeat, when they welcome Lionel Scaloni's men to Sao Paulo.

Argentina's Lionel Messi and teammates celebrate winning the Copa America on July 10, 2021© Reuters

After a draw against Chile in their opening game, Argentina kicked into gear in the Copa America, completing the group stage with victories over Uruguay, Paraguay and Bolivia to top the group and book a quarter-final tie with Ecuador.

Rodrigo De Paul, Lautaro Martinez and Lionel Messi all got on the scoresheet in a 3-0 thrashing in that game, before heroics from Emiliano Martinez saw them triumph in a penalty shootout after a 1-1 draw with Colombia in the semi-final.

That saw them meet rivals Brazil in the final, and La Albiceleste stood strong to defend a 1-0 lead throughout the game after Angel Di Maria's early opener to earn their 15th Copa America title.

After winning three and drawing three of their opening six World Cup Qualifiers, Scaloni's side returned to action with a 3-1 away win over Venezuela on Friday.

While it took La Albiceleste a while to break down their hosts, Lautaro Martinez eventually put them ahead on the stroke of half time, and Joaquin Correa and Angel Correa netted second-half goals to make their position comfortable before Yeferson Soteldo hit a consolation goal from the penalty spot for their opponents deep into injury time.

After the disappointment of a round-of-16 exit in the 2018 World Cup, they will be keen to strengthen their position to reach next year's tournament, with the chance to reduce the gap between themselves and Brazil to just three points with a victory.

Brazil World Cup Qualifying - South America form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Brazil form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Argentina World Cup Qualifying - South America form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W

Argentina form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Argentina's Lionel Messi celebrates scoring their second goal on June 28, 2021© Reuters

Brazil's squad has been hit by the Premier League's decision not to release players for international games in COVID-19 red-listed countries, meaning the likes of Thiago Silva, Fabinho, Gabriel Jesus and Richarlison have been unable to travel alongside goalkeepers Ederson and Alisson Becker.

In the circumstances, Tite fielded a relatively full-strength side on Friday, with talisman Neymar leading the line alongside Flamengo forward Gabriel Barbosa.

Everton Ribeiro will be pushing for a starting spot, after he came off the bench to hit the winner in that game, while Hulk and Matheus Cunha are also knocking on the door.

In the absence of their two front-line goalkeepers, the Selecao will again deploy Weverton between the sticks, behind the accomplished centre-back pairing of Eder Militao and Marquinhos.

Argentina have been fortunate to welcome their Premier League players into the camp, with first-choice goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez arriving from Aston Villa alongside Emiliano Buendia, while Tottenham Hotspur duo Cristian Romero and Giovani Lo Celso arrive to challenge in defence and midfield respectively.

While Lo Celso thrived in a midfield trio with new Atletico Madrid star Rodrigo De Paul and Paris Saint-Germain's midfielder Leandro Paredes at the Copa America, the latter did not make the matchday squad against Venezuela, despite flying to South America, and he could again miss out on Sunday.

After recently rejoining the squad, Juventus star Paulo Dybala will be keen to earn a starting spot, although Angel Di Maria, Lionel Messi and Lautaro Martinez have formed a relatively established front three.

Brazil possible starting lineup:
Weverton; Danilo, Militao, Marquinhos, Sandro; Ribeiro, Casemiro, Guimaraes, Vinicius; Barbosa, Neymar

Argentina possible starting lineup:
E Martinez; Molina, Pezzella, Otamendi, Acuna; De Paul, Rodriguez, Lo Celso; Di Maria, Messi, L Martinez


SM words green background

We say: Brazil 1-1 Argentina

While Argentina may have the advantage of their English-based players, compared to the Selecao's long list of absentees, it will still be a major task to win on their travels.

We see the two sides playing out a draw that suits both, as Brazil will be keen to return the favour following the Copa America, while ensuring their robust system limits an exciting Argentina side's chances.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 53.82%. A win for Argentina had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.23%) and 1-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Argentina win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%).


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Game History

How you voted: Brazil vs Argentina

Brazil
27.9%
Draw
19.7%
Argentina
52.4%
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Argentina's Lionel Messi celebrates scoring their first goal on June 14, 2021
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Copa America Team of the Tournament - Messi, Neymar, Martinez
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