Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.49% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%) , while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.