/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
-
Richard Rios
20'
-
Leandro Barreiro
49'
-
Amar Dedic
78'
-
Noa Lang
52'
-
Noa Lang
53'
-
Antonio Vergara
87'
Benfica vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F09%2Faaa-jm-68cbe8dfe8c9c239315320.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.53% and a win for Napoli had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%) , while for a Napoli win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result
Benfica
54.64%
Draw
23.53%
Napoli
21.83%
Both Teams to Score:
52.73%
Goals
Over 2.5
52.28%
Under 2.5
47.71%
Over 3.5
30.09%
Under 3.5
69.91%
Over 4.5
14.73%
Under 4.5
85.27%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
82.65%
Under 0.5
17.35%
Over 1.5
52.27%
Under 1.5
47.73%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
63.79%
Under 0.5
36.2%
Over 1.5
27.01%
Under 1.5
72.99%
Score analysis
Benfica
54.64%
Draw
23.52%
Napoli
21.83%
Benfica
1-0
@
11%
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.64%
3-1 @ 5.72%
3-0 @ 5.63%
3-2 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-0 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 54.64%
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.64%
3-1 @ 5.72%
3-0 @ 5.63%
3-2 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-0 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 54.64%
Draw
1-1
@
11.17%
0-0 @ 6.28%
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 23.52%
0-0 @ 6.28%
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 23.52%
Napoli
0-1
@
6.38%
1-2 @ 5.68%
0-2 @ 3.24%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 5.68%
0-2 @ 3.24%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 21.83%