Europa League
Aug 20, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Rafa Silva 2' goal
  • Leandro Barreiro 9' yellowcard
  • Tomás Araújo 24' yellowcard
  • Leandro Barreiro 31' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 45'+2' goal
  • goal Sebastian Jørgensen 36'
  • yellowcard Stefen Tchamche  83'

Benfica vs Aarhus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Aarhus

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.59% and a win for Aarhus had a probability of 15.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%) , while for a Aarhus win it was 0-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Benfica 64.37% (-0.07)
Draw 20.59% (+0.02)
Aarhus 15.01% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.07% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.58% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.42% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 56.98% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 43.02% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 35.31% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 64.69% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 23.05% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 76.95% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Benfica 46.49% (+0.02)
Draw 35.65% (-0.03)
Aarhus 17.86% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Benfica 66.37% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.67% (-0.01)
Aarhus 27.96% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.06%
Equal 8 9.95%
Under 8 31.99%
Over 9 47.85%
Equal 9 10.22%
Under 9 41.94%
Over 10.5 38.12%
Under 10.5 61.88%

Benfica Goals

Over 1.5 60.41% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 39.59% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 33.86% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 66.14% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 15.53%
Under 3.5 84.47%

Aarhus Goals

Over 0.5 49.44% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 50.56% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 20.06% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 79.94% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 6.2% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 93.8% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.9% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.1% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Benfica 64.38%
Draw 20.6%
Aarhus 15.01%
Benfica
1-0 @ 11.34% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.84% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.43% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.35%
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 15.27%
Total : 64.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.89% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.6%
Aarhus
0-1 @ 4.4%
1-2 @ 3.95% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.64% (+0.02)
Total : 15.01%