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Belgium national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 13, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
Estonia national football team

Belgium
3 - 1
Estonia

Benteke (11'), Carrasco (53'), Hazard (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sorga (70')
Mets (14')

Preview: Belgium vs. Estonia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Belgium and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Belgium can officially book their place at World Cup 2022 with victory over Estonia in Saturday's qualifier at the King Baudouin Stadium in Brussels.

The Red Devils are five points clear at the top of Group E with two rounds of games to play, while Estonia can finish no higher than their current standing of fourth place.


Match preview

Belgium manager Roberto Martinez on June 29, 2021© Reuters

Following the disappointment of losing to France and Italy in last month's UEFA Nations League Finals, Belgium will be eager to get back to winning ways over the next week.

Roberto Martinez's side are on course to end the year as the world's top-ranked nation once again, which says an awful lot about their consistency in qualifying matches.

While their record in major tournaments is underwhelming considering their 'Golden Generation' of talent, Belgium's ability to cruise through qualifying cannot be understated.

A victory against Estonia on home soil on Saturday will be enough to secure top spot with a game to spare, while even a shock defeat may be enough if Wales fail to beat Belarus.

Should the unthinkable happen and the Red Devils fall to defeat, combined with Wales beating Belarus, that would leave them needing to dodge defeat in Cardiff next Tuesday.

Estonia coach Thomas Haberli during the match on March 27, 2021© Reuters

Realistically, though, Martinez will be confident of his side getting the job done in their final home match this year, having gone 14 World Cup qualifiers without defeat at home.

Estonia enter the match in relatively good spirits, despite falling to a slender 1-0 loss against Wales last time out in qualifying.

That came on the back of a well-earned goalless draw against the Dragons in Cardiff and a 2-0 victory over Belarus on their own patch.

Thomas Haberli's side have had an encouraging few months, having also ended their long wait for Baltic Cup success in the summer.

Estonia may no longer be able to finish higher than fourth, but holding off Belarus - one point worse off in fifth - gives them something to play for in Brussels on Saturday.

Belgium World Cup Qualifying - Europe form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Belgium form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L

Estonia World Cup Qualifying - Europe form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L

Estonia form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L



Team News

Chelsea's Romelu Lukaku celebrates scoring their first goal on September 11, 2021© Reuters

Belgium have a number of regulars missing from their squad ahead of their double-header of fixtures against Estonia and Wales.

Youri Tielemans, Romelu Lukaku, Michy Batshuayi, Jeremy Doku, Thomas Vermaelen and Toby Alderweireld are all out.

Christian Benteke is the most likely option to lead the line in the absence of Lukaku and Batshuayi, with Kevin De Bruyne and Eden Hazard providing attacking support.

As for Estonia, they are without suspended centre-back Marten Kuusk, which should see Karol Mets brought into a five-man backline that will attempt to stifle Belgium's attackers.

Karl Hein impressed during the recent stalemate with Wales, but the Arsenal youngster is not in the squad this time around, so Matvei Igonen looks likely to start.

Belgium possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Denayer, Boyata, Vertonghen; Saelemaekers, Witsel, Vanaken, Carrasco; De Bruyne, Hazard; Benteke

Estonia possible starting lineup:
Igonen; Teniste, Paskotsi, Mets, Tamm, Pikk; Kreida, Vassiljev, Poom; Anier, Sappinen


SM words green background

We say: Belgium 3-0 Estonia

Belgium have lost their last two matches and will now be after six points from six to conclude their World Cup qualifying campaign.

Martinez will likely rotate his injury-hit squad, but even so there is far too much quality in the Red Devils' ranks to be given a scare by Estonia.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 3.5:data



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Written by
Daniel Lewis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 11.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.76%) and 3-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Belgium vs Estonia

Belgium
85.9%
Draw
9.0%
Estonia
5.1%
78
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