Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Slavia Mozyr win it was 1-0 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.