Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Gomel win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.