Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 80.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for FC Molodechno had a probability of 5.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.69%) and 1-0 (12.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a FC Molodechno win it was 0-1 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Minsk would win this match.