Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Molodechno win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Molodechno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Naftan win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.