Europa League Gameweek 1
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
  • Svit Seslar 15' goal
  • Facundo Medina 74' goal

Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Celje

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.84% and a win for Celje had a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%) , while for a Celje win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 54.7% (-2.44)
Draw 22.84% (+0.45)
Celje 22.46% (+1.99)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.43% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.55% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 23.45% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 53.85% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 46.15% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 32.02% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 67.98% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 19.94% (-0.63)
Under 4.5 80.06% (+0.63)

First Half Winner

Bayer Leverkusen 37.96% (-3.98)
Draw 38.39% (+2.54)
Celje 23.65% (+1.44)

Team To Score First

Bayer Leverkusen 57.98% (-0.78)
No Goal 6.47% (-0.19)
Celje 35.55% (+0.95)

Corners

Over 8 46.47% (+0.97)
Equal 8 11.44% (+0.02)
Under 8 42.08% (-1.00)
Over 9 35.78% (+0.86)
Equal 9 10.7% (+0.11)
Under 9 53.53% (-0.97)
Over 10.5 26.54% (+0.72)
Under 10.5 73.46% (-0.72)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 1.5 50.99% (-1.94)
Under 1.5 49.01% (+1.94)
Over 2.5 25.88% (-1.61)
Under 2.5 74.12% (+1.61)
Over 3.5 10.47% (-1.10)
Under 3.5 89.53% (+1.10)

Celje Goals

Over 0.5 56.96% (+2.51)
Under 0.5 43.04% (-2.51)
Over 1.5 26.02% (+1.72)
Under 1.5 73.98% (-1.72)
Over 2.5 9.51% (+1.01)
Under 2.5 90.49% (-1.02)
Over 3.5 3.45% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 96.55% (-0.50)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 54.7%
Draw 22.83%
Celje 22.46%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.37)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.51)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.36)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.05)
Other @ 10.38% (-1.11)
Total : 54.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.45% (+0.57)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.71% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.01)
Total : 22.83%
Celje
0-1 @ 5.67% (+0.27)
1-2 @ 5.37% (+0.30)
0-2 @ 3.11% (+0.36)
1-3 @ 2.11% (+0.24)
2-3 @ 1.68% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.36% (+0.49)
Total : 22.46%