Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LASK Linz win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a LASK Linz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that LASK Linz would win this match.