Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

May 17, 2025 at 4pm UK

PROfertil ARENA

Hartberg
3 - 2
Swarovski

Muller (71' og.), Huskovic (83'), Drew (90+2')
Demir (53'), Markus (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hinterseer (27'), Blume (89')
Jaunegg (63'), Votter (67')

Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Hartberg and WSG Swarovski Tirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartberg

All competitions

Last Game: LASK 0-0 Hartberg
Saturday, May 10 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

WSG Swarovski Tirol

All competitions

Last Game: Austria Klagenfurt 1-4 Swarovski
Saturday, May 10 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartberg win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for WSG Swarovski Tirol had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest WSG Swarovski Tirol win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartberg would win this match.

Result
Hartberg	Draw	WSG Swarovski Tirol
43.2% ( -0.67)	26.08% ( 0.28)	30.72% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 52.53% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.28% (

-1)

51.72% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.51% (

-0.87)

73.49% (

0.88)

Hartberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.22% (

-0.75)

23.78% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.06% (

-1.1)

57.94% (

1.1)

WSG Swarovski Tirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92% (

-0.23)

31.08% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.6% (

-0.27)

67.4% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Hartberg 43.2%

WSG Swarovski Tirol 30.72%

Draw 26.08%

Hartberg	Draw	WSG Swarovski Tirol
1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.81% Total : 43.2%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.72%