Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartberg win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Grazer AK had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartberg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Grazer AK win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartberg would win this match.