Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Apr 22, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Merkur Arena

Grazer
0 - 3
Hartberg

Jovicic (37'), Satin (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mijic (58', 90+6'), Avdijaj (70')
Omoregie (22'), Sallinger (90+1')

Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Grazer AK and Hartberg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grazer AK

All competitions

Last Game: Austria Klagenfurt 0-0 Grazer
Saturday, April 19 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

Hartberg

All competitions

Last Game: Rheindorf Altach 1-1 Hartberg
Saturday, April 19 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartberg win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Grazer AK had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartberg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Grazer AK win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartberg would win this match.

Result
Grazer AK	Draw	Hartberg
28.88% ( -0.01)	25.93% ( 0.02)	45.2% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.03% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.09% (

-0.1)

51.91% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.34% (

-0.09)

73.66% (

0.09)

Grazer AK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.49% (

-0.06)

32.51% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.96% (

-0.07)

69.04% (

0.07)

Hartberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09% (

-0.05)

22.91% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.33% (

-0.08)

56.67% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Grazer AK 28.88%

Hartberg 45.2%

Draw 25.92%

Grazer AK	Draw	Hartberg
1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.88%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.2%