Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a WSG Swarovski Tirol win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Austria Klagenfurt had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a WSG Swarovski Tirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Austria Klagenfurt win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that WSG Swarovski Tirol would win this match.