Europa League
Aug 27, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
  • Bruno Wilson 80' yellowcard
  • Sandro Lima 90'+8' goal
  • Zhirayr Shaghoyan 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Sandro Lima 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicușor Bancu  48'
  • yellowcard Steven Nsimba 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Samuel Teles 90'+7'

Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ararat-Armenia

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 6.00pm
U Craiova 1 - 1 Ararat-Armenia

Universitatea Craiova

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 6.00pm
U Craiova 1 - 1 Ararat-Armenia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Universitatea Craiova had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ararat-Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Universitatea Craiova win was 0-1 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Ararat-Armenia 39.78% (-0.04)
Draw 26.45%
Universitatea Craiova 33.74%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.1%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.58% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.42% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 50.49%
Under 2.5 49.51% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.65% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.35% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.34% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.66% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Ararat-Armenia 29.77%
Draw 44.92%
Universitatea Craiova 25.31%

Team To Score First

Ararat-Armenia 49.63%
No Goal 7.25%
Universitatea Craiova 43.12%

Corners

Over 8 48.19%
Equal 8 11.78%
Under 8 40.03%
Over 9 37.05%
Equal 9 11.14%
Under 9 51.81%
Over 10.5 27.33%
Under 10.5 72.67%

Ararat-Armenia Goals

Over 1.5 39.59% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 60.41% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 16.43% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.57% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.78% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.22% (+0.02)

Universitatea Craiova Goals

Over 0.5 67.73% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 32.27% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 34.92%
Under 1.5 65.08%
Over 2.5 13.82%
Under 2.5 86.18%
Over 3.5 4.48%
Under 3.5 95.52%

Score analysis

Ararat-Armenia 39.78%
Draw 26.44%
Universitatea Craiova 33.75%
Ararat-Armenia
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.51% (-0.01)
Total : 39.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.25%
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 26.44%
Universitatea Craiova
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.81% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.17%
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.46% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 33.75%

Head to Head

Europa League
Aug 20, 2026 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova)
  • Nicușor Bancu  33' goal
  • David Matei 39' yellowcard
  • Oleksandr Romanchuk 47' yellowcard
  • Adrian Rus 69' yellowcard
  • Monday Etim 78' yellowcard
  • goal Alexandros Malis 20'