Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Alverca
3 - 0
Pero Pinheiro

Carter (54'), Bessa (65'), Harramiz (90')
Harramiz (77'), Ageu (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pedro de Jesus Kitenga (45'), Monteiro Cuco (46')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Alverca and Pero Pinheiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

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Last Game: Alverca 1-2 Louletano
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Pero Pinheiro

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Last Game: Pero Pinheiro 0-0 FC Serpa (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alverca win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Pero Pinheiro had a probability of 17.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alverca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Pero Pinheiro win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alverca would win this match.

Result
AlvercaDrawPero Pinheiro
58.02% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)24.39% (0.021999999999998 0.02)17.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 43.73% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.72% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)56.28% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)77.32% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Alverca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.72% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)19.28% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.98% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)51.02% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Pero Pinheiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.18% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)45.82% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.42% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)81.58% (0.029999999999987 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Alverca 58.01%
    Pero Pinheiro 17.59%
    Draw 24.39%
AlvercaDrawPero Pinheiro
1-0 @ 14.54% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.96%
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 58.01%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.84% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.9% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 17.59%

rhs 2.0


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