Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alverca win with a probability of 41.54%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Louletano had a probability of 28.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alverca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Louletano win it was 0-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
