Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 76.52%. A draw had a probability of 16.26% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 7.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.13%) and 3-0 (11.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%) , while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood.