AFC Champions League Gameweek 4
Nov 3, 2026 12.15pm
BG Stadium

Port vs Beijing Guoan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port

All competitions

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 1.15pm
Beijing Guoan 2 - 1 Pohang Steelers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Port has a probability of 34.6% and a draw has a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Port win is 2-1 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.97%).

Result

Port 34.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 23.78% ▲ (+0.07)
Beijing Guoan 41.62% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.03% ▼ (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.97% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 21.03% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 56.8% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 43.2% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 34.82% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 65.18% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 21.02% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 4.5 78.98% ▲ (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Port 31.75%
Draw 39.81%
Beijing Guoan 28.44%

Team To Score First

Port 50.56% ▼ (-0.05)
No Goal 5.5% ▲ (+0.09)
Beijing Guoan 43.94% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 54.86%
Equal 8 10.46%
Under 8 34.69%
Over 9 44.4%
Equal 9 10.46%
Under 9 45.14%
Over 10.5 34.71%
Under 10.5 65.29%

Port Goals

Over 1.5 37.97% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 62.03% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 16.62% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 83.38% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.51% ▲ (+0.02)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5 73.62% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 26.38% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 43.39% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 56.61% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 19.87% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 80.13% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 7.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.68% ▲ (+0.06)

Score analysis

Port 34.61%
Draw 23.78%
Beijing Guoan 41.62%
Port
2-1 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.54%
Other @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 34.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.97% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.78%
Beijing Guoan
1-2 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 41.62%