AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2023 at 1pm UK
Mong Kok Stadium

Kitchee
1 - 2
Lion City

Jantscher (87')
Chun Lok (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zivkovic (14'), Lestienne (37' pen.)
Zivkovic (16'), Harun (41'), Kumar (63'), Herrera Lopez (90+5')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Kitchee and Lion City Sailors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kitchee

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Last Game: Jeonbuk 2-1 Kitchee
Wednesday, September 20 at 11am in AFC Champions League
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Lion City Sailors

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Last Game: Lion City 1-2 Bangkok Utd
Wednesday, September 20 at 1pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kitchee win with a probability of 62.5%. A win for Lion City Sailors had a probability of 20.24% and a draw had a probability of 17.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kitchee win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.27%) and 3-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Lion City Sailors win was 1-2 (4.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
KitcheeDrawLion City Sailors
62.5% (-0.143 -0.14)17.26% (0.183 0.18)20.24% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 73.72% (-0.867 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.09% (-0.96900000000001 -0.97)19.9% (0.964 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
62.04% (-1.394 -1.39)37.96% (1.39 1.39)
Kitchee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.49% (-0.297 -0.3)6.5% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.73% (-0.804 -0.8)24.27% (0.798 0.8)
Lion City Sailors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (-0.678 -0.68)21.15% (0.673 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.98% (-1.063 -1.06)54.01% (1.059 1.06)
Score Analysis
    Kitchee 62.5%
    Lion City Sailors 20.24%
    Draw 17.26%
KitcheeDrawLion City Sailors
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 7.27% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
3-2 @ 5.65% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.14% (0.226 0.23)
4-1 @ 4.97% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.131 0.13)
4-2 @ 3.86% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-0 @ 3.76% (0.223 0.22)
4-0 @ 3.2% (0.038 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.72% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-2 @ 2.11% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-3 @ 2% (-0.102 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.24% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-3 @ 1.09% (-0.075 -0.08)
6-2 @ 0.96% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 62.5%
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.022 0.02)
1-1 @ 5.84% (0.233 0.23)
3-3 @ 2.92% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 1.38% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 17.26%
1-2 @ 4.53% (0.09 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 2.14% (0.119 0.12)
0-2 @ 1.66% (0.06 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-4 @ 1.14% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 20.24%