AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2021 at 11am UK
Chang Arena

Kitchee
0 - 0
Cerezo


Man Tong (80'), Cancela (89'), Roberto (90+1')
FT

Harakawa (55')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Kitchee and Cerezo Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kitchee win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kitchee win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
KitcheeDrawCerezo Osaka
41.11%23.08%35.81%
Both teams to score 64.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.56%36.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.42%58.58%
Kitchee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74%18.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.69%49.32%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3%20.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69%53.31%
Score Analysis
    Kitchee 41.11%
    Cerezo Osaka 35.81%
    Draw 23.07%
KitcheeDrawCerezo Osaka
2-1 @ 8.61%
1-0 @ 6.43%
2-0 @ 5.47%
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 41.11%
1-1 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 6.78%
0-0 @ 3.78%
3-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.07%
1-2 @ 7.97%
0-1 @ 5.96%
0-2 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 2.46%
1-4 @ 1.65%
2-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 35.81%

How you voted: Kitchee vs Cerezo

Kitchee
12.5%
Draw
0.0%
Cerezo Osaka
87.5%
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