Kitchee

1 - 0

Shandong

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kitchee win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kitchee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kitchee would win this match.