AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2020 at 10am UK
Tianhe Stadium

Evergrande
1 - 3
Vissel Kobe

Furuhashi (55' og.)
Aloisio (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Furuhashi (44'), Douglas (74'), Iniesta (84')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Guangzhou and Vissel Kobe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
GuangzhouDrawVissel Kobe
49.97%22.11%27.92%
Both teams to score 64.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.67%35.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.64%57.36%
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5%14.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5%42.5%
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34%24.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82%59.18%
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou 49.97%
    Vissel Kobe 27.92%
    Draw 22.11%
GuangzhouDrawVissel Kobe
2-1 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 6.91%
2-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 6.01%
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 4.21%
4-1 @ 2.9%
4-0 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 2.03%
5-1 @ 1.12%
4-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 49.97%
1-1 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 3.58%
3-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.11%
1-2 @ 6.77%
0-1 @ 5.01%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 1.64%
1-4 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 27.92%

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