AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2021 at 3pm UK
Tianhe Stadium

Guangzhou
1 - 5
Port

Aksornsri (49' og.)
S (16')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Suarez (5'), Phala (53'), Rochela Calvo (56' pen.), Wang (76' og.), Chappuis (90+3')
Siriphala (62'), Roller (78')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Guangzhou and Port.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 37.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port would win this match.

Result
GuangzhouDrawPort
37.53%24.71%37.75%
Both teams to score 58.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.7%44.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.33%66.67%
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64%23.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67%57.33%
Port Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76%23.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84%57.16%
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou 37.53%
    Port 37.76%
    Draw 24.71%
GuangzhouDrawPort
2-1 @ 8.38%
1-0 @ 7.9%
2-0 @ 5.74%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 37.53%
1-1 @ 11.52%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-1 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 5.78%
1-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 2.97%
0-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 1.49%
2-4 @ 1.08%
0-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 37.76%