AFC Champions League
Aug 22, 2023 6.20pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT King Saud University Stadium
  • Anderson Talisca 11' goal
  • Sultan Al-Ghanam 88' goal
  • Anderson Talisca 90'+5' goal
  • Marcelo Brozovic 90'+7' goal
  • goal Yahya Alghassani 18'
  • goal Yahya Alghassani 46'
  • yellowcard Harib Abdalla 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Yahya Alghassani 56'
  • yellowcard Majed Naser 74'
  • yellowcard Saeed Suleiman Salem 90'+2'

Al-Nassr vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result

Al-Nassr 41.75% (+0.06)
Draw 24.64% (+0.02)
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 33.61% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.49% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.52% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 44.47% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 33.15% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 66.84% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 16.9% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 83.09% (+0.05)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5 78.65% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 21.35% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 45.68% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.32% (+0.01)

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Goals

Over 0.5 74.36% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 25.63% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 39.47% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 60.53% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Al-Nassr 41.75%
Draw 24.63%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 33.61%
Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 8.88% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.45% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.52% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.57% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.36% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 41.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.63%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.45% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 33.61%