Europa League
Aug 27, 2026 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Cepheus Park Randers
  • Mouhammade Camara 25' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Carstensen 45' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Carstensen 60' goal
  • goal Gianluca Prestianni 19'
  • goal Rafa Silva 56'
  • goal Gianluca Prestianni 61'

Aarhus vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aarhus

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 8.00pm
Benfica 3 - 1 Aarhus

Benfica

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 8.00pm
Benfica 3 - 1 Aarhus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-0 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Aarhus 29.57% (-0.04)
Draw 25.49%
Benfica 44.93% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.79% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.68%
Under 1.5 25.32%
Over 2.5 51.25%
Under 2.5 48.75%
Over 3.5 29.48%
Under 3.5 70.52%
Over 4.5 17.34% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.66% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Aarhus 26.42%
Draw 36.5%
Benfica 37.08%

Team To Score First

Aarhus 42.47%
No Goal 7.46%
Benfica 50.07%

Corners

Over 8 57.46%
Equal 8 10.26%
Under 8 32.28%
Over 9 46.99%
Equal 9 10.47%
Under 9 42.54%
Over 10.5 37.1%
Under 10.5 62.9%

Aarhus Goals

Over 1.5 31.49% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 68.51% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.08% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.92% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.77%
Under 3.5 96.23%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 74.76% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 25.24% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 43.66% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.34% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 19.94% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.06% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.42% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.58% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Aarhus 29.57%
Draw 25.49%
Benfica 44.93%
Aarhus
1-0 @ 7.69% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 29.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.46%
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 25.49%
Benfica
0-1 @ 10.16% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-2 @ 7.53% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.17%
0-3 @ 4.15%
2-3 @ 2.93% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.16% (+0.01)
Total : 44.93%

Head to Head

Europa League
Aug 20, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Rafa Silva 2' goal
  • Leandro Barreiro 9' yellowcard
  • Tomás Araújo 24' yellowcard
  • Leandro Barreiro 31' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 45'+2' goal
  • goal Sebastian Jørgensen 36'
  • yellowcard Stefen Tchamche  83'