Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TPS win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a TPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
