Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Haka had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
