Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Ilves had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Ilves win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.