Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Jul 25, 2020 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tim Vayrynen 25' goal
  • Roope Riski 34' yellowcard
  • Antonio Reguero 69' yellowcard
  • Luis Carlos Murillo 86' yellowcard
  • Ferhan Hasani 87' goal
  • yellowcard Tiemoko Fofana 80'

HJK Helsinki vs Ilves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 22, 2020 4.30pm
TPS 0 - 2 HJK Helsinki
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Roope Riski

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 21, 2020 4.30pm
RoPS 1 - 1 Ilves
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Naatan Skytta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Ilves had a probability of 23.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Ilves win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result

HJK Helsinki 49.3%
Draw 26.77%
Ilves 23.93%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.71%

Goals

Over 2.5 41.81%
Under 2.5 58.19%
Over 3.5 21.16%
Under 3.5 78.84%

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 76.29%
Under 0.5 23.71%
Over 1.5 42.17%
Under 1.5 57.83%

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5 59.92%
Under 0.5 40.08%
Over 1.5 23.27%
Under 1.5 76.73%

Score analysis

HJK Helsinki 49.29%
Draw 26.77%
Ilves 23.93%
HJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 13.67%
2-0 @ 9.84%
2-1 @ 9%
3-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.7%
4-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 49.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 9.5%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.77%
Ilves
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.25%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 23.93%