Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 54.66%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.