Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 54.78%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 23.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.