Erzgebirge Aue

0 - 5

Schalke

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.