Michael Vaughan: "15% chance of an England win"

Michael Vaughan has claimed that England have a "15% chance" of winning the third and final Test against Pakistan in the United Arab Emirates.

The tourists head into day five 238 runs short of their victory target and with eight wickets in hand following the dismissals of opener Moeen Ali and Ian Bell.

However, due to the fact that the pitch is expected to favour Pakistan's spin-bowlers, ex-captain Vaughan has conceded that England will be up against it.

"Pakistan are favourites but you just never know if England can get one player to a 100. There's a 15% chance of an England win," he told BBC Sport.

Earlier in the day, England bowled out Pakistan for 355 runs.