Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Monza |
62.82% ( 0.12) | 21.28% ( -0.02) | 15.89% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 49.36% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.1% ( -0.07) | 46.89% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.85% ( -0.07) | 69.15% ( 0.07) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.68% ( 0.01) | 14.31% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.86% ( 0.02) | 42.14% ( -0.02) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.61% ( -0.17) | 42.39% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.23% ( -0.14) | 78.77% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 62.81% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.28% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 15.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |