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Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Mar 31, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
St Louis City

Salt Lake
3 - 1
St Louis City

Arango (70', 84' pen., 90+1')
Davis (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vassilev (3')
Markanich (30'), Parker (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Salt Lake
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 2-2 DC United
Sunday, March 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Real Salt Lake 1-2 St Louis City

St Louis City have a knack for scoring goals and, combined with Salt Lake's rather poor defensive record in recent seasons, we believe the visitors will end their drawing streak and take a victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawSt Louis City
64.7% (0.12299999999999 0.12) 19.64% (-0.055 -0.05) 15.66% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.32% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (0.119 0.12)40.04% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59% (0.124 0.12)62.4% (-0.123 -0.12)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.34% (0.067999999999998 0.07)11.66% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.28% (0.146 0.15)36.71% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)38.51% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)75.25% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 64.69%
    St Louis City 15.66%
    Draw 19.64%
Real Salt LakeDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.43% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.09% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.99% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.81% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.72% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.64% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 64.69%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.64%
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.28% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 15.66%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 1.30am
Jun 22, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City
1-3
Salt Lake
Gioacchini (21')
Stroud (29'), Ostrak (30'), Nerwinski (47'), Bartlett (55')
Luna (15'), Kreilach (48', 66')
Vera (54'), Beavers (71')
Mar 26, 2023 2.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto177372626024
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236181833
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles168442719828
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver166552218423
6Colorado RapidsColorado176562829-123
7Austin FCAustin176562025-523
8Houston DynamoHouston166461717022
9Portland TimbersPortland175573131020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153571723-614
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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