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Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 6pm UK
Gillette Stadium
FC Cincinnati

New England
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Vrioni (62')
Harkes (48'), Jones (83'), Vrioni (90+4'), Gil (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kubo (52'), Acosta (54')
Yedlin (63'), Orellano (69'), Acosta (72'), Bucha (85'), Boupendza (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monterrey 2-1 Cincinnati
Friday, March 15 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: New England Revolution 1-3 FC Cincinnati

It seems to be taking the Revs longer than expected to adjust to the Caleb Porter way of playing, and they could still be figuring things out on Sunday. Defensively in 2024, Cincinnati have been a lot more compact and organised, and we believe a player with the vision and creativity of Acosta will find a way to expose a leaky Revs backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawFC Cincinnati
48.46% (0.58600000000001 0.59) 23.35% (-0.203 -0.2) 28.19% (-0.386 -0.39)
Both teams to score 60.1% (0.422 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (0.687 0.69)41.1% (-0.688 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (0.695 0.7)63.49% (-0.69700000000001 -0.7)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (0.485 0.48)17.17% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.57% (0.85 0.85)47.43% (-0.851 -0.85)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56% (0.084999999999994 0.08)27.44% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.08% (0.112 0.11)62.92% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 48.46%
    FC Cincinnati 28.19%
    Draw 23.35%
New England RevolutionDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.09% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.19%

How you voted: New England vs Cincinnati

New England Revolution
15.4%
Draw
15.4%
FC Cincinnati
69.2%
13
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-2
New England
Badji (11', 55')
Nwobodo (36')
Badji (15' og.), Bou (24')
Gil (51'), Blessing (52')
Apr 30, 2023 12.30am
Jul 4, 2022 12.30am
New England
2-2
Cincinnati
Borrero (30'), Bou (55')
Kessler (41' og.)
May 22, 2022 12.20am
Cincinnati
2-3
New England
Vazquez (26'), Barreal (58')
Nwobodo (23')
Lletget (17'), Buksa (43'), McNamara (89')
Rivera (5'), Boateng (90+4')
Aug 22, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto177372626024
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796235181733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles168442719828
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver166552218423
6Colorado RapidsColorado176562829-123
7Austin FCAustin176562024-423
8Houston DynamoHouston166461616022
9Portland TimbersPortland175573030020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153571723-614
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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