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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
May 26, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Los Angeles FC

Atlanta
0 - 1
Los Angeles


Lennon (26'), Mosquera (77')
Guzan (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bogusz (63')
Atuesta (10')
Atuesta (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Atlanta
Saturday, May 18 at 6.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 0-2 Los Angeles
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-2 Los Angeles FC

Los Angeles have put together a fine run of results of late and will be backing themselves against an Atlanta side who have picked up just one point from their last four home games in the league. While we expect the Five Stripes to put up a fight, we predict that the visitors will do just enough secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawLos Angeles FC
42.07% (0.131 0.13) 23.66% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04) 34.27% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 62.22% (0.12 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.31% (0.167 0.17)39.68% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.96% (0.173 0.17)62.04% (-0.175 -0.18)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (0.126 0.13)19.2% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12% (0.20800000000001 0.21)50.88% (-0.209 -0.21)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77% (0.027000000000001 0.03)23% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.2% (0.042999999999999 0.04)56.8% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 42.07%
    Los Angeles FC 34.27%
    Draw 23.66%
Atlanta UnitedDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 42.07%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 7.87% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 34.27%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Los Angeles

Atlanta United
26.3%
Draw
10.5%
Los Angeles FC
63.2%
19
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
0-0
Atlanta
Palacios (18'), Cifuentes (23'), Crisostomo (90+6')
Ibarra (28'), Rossetto (61'), Sanchez (70'), Fortune (85'), Wolff (90+4')
Aug 15, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 25
Atlanta
1-0
Los Angeles
Martinez (47')
Bello (85')

Atuesta (90+6')
Aug 16, 2020 8pm
Jul 27, 2019 3am
Los Angeles
4-3
Atlanta
Diomande (33'), Rossi (38'), Vela (41' pen.), Atuesta (45')
Adams (2'), Martinez (45'), Segura (51' og.)
Remedi (44'), Gonzalez (56'), Meram (80')
Apr 7, 2018 10pm
Gameweek 6
Atlanta
5-0
Los Angeles
Gressel (17'), Martinez (67'), Almiro (88' pen., 92' pen.), Williams (97')
McCann (1'), Almiro (48'), Williams (98')

Moutinho (90')
Moutinho (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105341261535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Toronto178272624226
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Nashville SCNashville164841920-120
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164752522319
10CF MontrealMontreal165472233-1119
11DC United174672331-818
12Orlando City164571624-817
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
14Chicago Fire172691529-1412
15New England RevolutionNew England142210926-178

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy178723123831
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd157532419526
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842224-217
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162682328-512
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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