World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sep 4, 2021 5.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 22' goal
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 35' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 44' yellowcard
  • Maxime Chanot 81' goal
  • Nikola Milenkovic 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Christopher Martins Pereira 34'
  • goal Olivier Thill 77'
  • yellowcard Gerson Rodrigues 79'
  • redcard Gerson Rodrigues 90'+4'

Serbia vs Luxembourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Mar 30, 2021 5.00pm
Azerbaijan 1 - 2 Serbia

Luxembourg

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Sep 1, 2021 7.45pm
Luxembourg 2 - 1 Azerbaijan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result

Serbia 49.1%
Draw 25.68%
Luxembourg 25.22%

Both Teams to Score: 

50%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.78%
Under 2.5 53.21%
Over 3.5 25.22%
Under 3.5 74.78%

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5 78.3%
Under 0.5 21.69%
Over 1.5 45.16%
Under 1.5 54.84%

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5 63.85%
Under 0.5 36.15%
Over 1.5 27.06%
Under 1.5 72.93%

Score analysis

Serbia 49.1%
Draw 25.68%
Luxembourg 25.22%
Serbia
1-0 @ 11.98%
2-1 @ 9.32%
2-0 @ 9.16%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-0 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 49.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 7.84%
2-2 @ 4.74%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.68%
Luxembourg
0-1 @ 7.98%
1-2 @ 6.2%
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 25.22%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 14, 2019 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 11' goal
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 43' goal
  • Nemanja Radonjic 70' goal
  • yellowcard Vincent Thill 38'
  • yellowcard Dirk Carlson 52'
  • goal Gerson Rodrigues 54'
  • goal David Turpel 75'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 10, 2019 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Maurice Deville 32' yellowcard
  • Leandro Barreiro 37' yellowcard
  • David Turpel 66' goal
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Mitrovic 29'
  • goal Aleksandar Mitrovic 36'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Kolarov 53'
  • goal Nemanja Radonjic 55'
  • yellowcard Uros Spajic 56'
  • goal Aleksandar Mitrovic 78'