World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Sep 4, 2021 at 5pm UK

Serbia
4 - 1
Luxembourg

Mitrovic (22', 35'), Chanot (81' og.), Milenkovic (90+6')
Tadic (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Thill (77')
Martins Pereira (34'), Rodrigues (79')
Rodrigues (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Serbia and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result
Serbia	Draw	Luxembourg
49.1%	25.68%	25.22%

Both teams to score 50%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.78%

53.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.22%

74.78%

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.3%

21.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.16%

54.84%

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.85%

36.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.06%

72.93%

Score Analysis

Serbia 49.1%

Luxembourg 25.22%

Draw 25.68%

Serbia	Draw	Luxembourg
1-0 @ 11.98% 2-1 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 9.16% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.3% Total : 49.1%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.84% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 6.2% 0-2 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.22%

How you voted: Serbia vs Luxembourg

Serbia

88.7%

Draw

7.0%

Luxembourg

4.2%