World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Jun 8, 2021 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bryan Alceus 25' yellowcard
  • Derrick Etienne 63' goal
  • Mikael Cantave 88' redcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Serapio 34'
  • redcard Kevin Serapio 84'
  • yellowcard Richard Rodriguez 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jaime Moreno 90'+5'

Haiti vs Nicaragua - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Haiti

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Jun 5, 2021 8.00pm
Turks & Caicos 0 - 10 Haiti

Nicaragua

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Jun 5, 2021 2.00am
Nicaragua 3 - 0 Belize

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 50.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Haiti in this match.

Result

Haiti 50.9%
Draw 24.63%
Nicaragua 24.47%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.45%

Goals

Over 2.5 50.37%
Under 2.5 49.62%
Over 3.5 28.35%
Under 3.5 71.64%

Haiti Goals

Over 0.5 80.5%
Under 0.5 19.5%
Over 1.5 48.63%
Under 1.5 51.37%

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5 65.16%
Under 0.5 34.84%
Over 1.5 28.42%
Under 1.5 71.57%

Score analysis

Haiti 50.89%
Draw 24.62%
Nicaragua 24.47%
Haiti
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 9.08%
3-1 @ 5.22%
3-0 @ 4.95%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 50.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 6.79%
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 24.62%
Nicaragua
0-1 @ 7.16%
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 3.78%
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 24.47%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jun 21, 2019 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Toyota Stadium, Frisco
  • Oscar Lopez 20' yellowcard
  • Kevin Serapio 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arcus Carlens 13'
  • goal Steven Sabat 22'
  • goal Manuel Rosas 33' (OG)
  • yellowcard Wilde-Donald Guerrier 66'
  • yellowcard Frantzdy Pierrot 75'
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 84'