Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
Caixa Futebol Campus

Benfica
2 - 3
Bayern Munich

Raysla (42'), Lacasse (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rall (67'), Stanway (83', 90+8')
Coverage of the Women's Champions League Group Stage clash between Benfica Women and Bayern Munich Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Barcelona 9-0 Benfica
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Bayern Munich 2-1 Rosengard
Wednesday, October 19 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich Women win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Benfica Women had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.35%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Benfica Women win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich Women would win this match.

Result
Benfica WomenDrawBayern Munich Women
30.4% (0.091999999999999 0.09)22.16% (0.032 0.03)47.44% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 66.06% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.08% (-0.102 -0.1)33.92% (0.103 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.23% (-0.117 -0.12)55.78% (0.117 0.12)
Benfica Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58% (0.0019999999999953 0)22.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)55.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bayern Munich Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.16% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)14.84% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.84% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)43.16% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Benfica Women 30.4%
    Bayern Munich Women 47.44%
    Draw 22.16%
Benfica WomenDrawBayern Munich Women
2-1 @ 7.1% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.98% (0.027 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.72% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 30.4%
1-1 @ 9.49% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.33% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.35% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.75% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.05% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 47.44%