Women's Champions League | First Round Third-Place Finals
Sep 7, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stade Achille Hammerel

Racing
2 - 0
NSA Sofia

Quatrana (56', 67')
Burtin (35'), Kocan (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mihaylova (40'), Ivanova (54')
Coverage of the Women's Champions League First Round Third-Place Finals clash between Racing Women and NSA Sofia Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

SFK Riga Women

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Last Game: Vorskla Poltava 5-0 SFK Riga
Wednesday, September 4 at 11am in Women's Champions League
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Flora Women

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Last Game: Ferencvaros 2-1 Flora
Wednesday, September 4 at 3.30pm in Women's Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NSA Sofia Women win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Racing Women had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a NSA Sofia Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.24%) and 0-2 (5.44%). The likeliest Racing Women win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Racing WomenDrawNSA Sofia Women
28.78% (23.729 23.73)20.71% (11.7331 11.73)50.51% (-35.463 -35.46)
Both teams to score 70.51% (15.698 15.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.3% (-8.46 -8.46)27.69% (8.459 8.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.64% (-11.369 -11.37)48.36% (11.368 11.37)
Racing Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (23.281 23.28)20.21% (-23.282 -23.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (27.18 27.18)52.52% (-27.181 -27.18)
NSA Sofia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.37% (-8.632 -8.63)11.63% (8.631 8.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.35% (-23.142 -23.14)36.65% (23.142 23.14)
Score Analysis
    Racing Women 28.78%
    NSA Sofia Women 50.51%
    Draw 20.71%
Racing WomenDrawNSA Sofia Women
2-1 @ 6.47% (4.881 4.88)
1-0 @ 3.76% (2.673 2.67)
3-2 @ 3.71% (2.936 2.94)
3-1 @ 3.45% (3.006 3.01)
2-0 @ 3% (2.552 2.55)
3-0 @ 1.6% (1.476 1.48)
4-2 @ 1.48% (1.321 1.32)
4-1 @ 1.38% (1.286 1.29)
4-3 @ 1.06% (0.875 0.88)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 28.78%
1-1 @ 8.09% (4.279 4.28)
2-2 @ 6.96% (4.176 4.18)
3-3 @ 2.66% (1.757 1.76)
0-0 @ 2.35% (1.047 1.05)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 8.7% (2.024 2.02)
1-3 @ 6.24% (-1.566 -1.57)
0-2 @ 5.44% (-2.577 -2.58)
0-1 @ 5.06% (0.485 0.49)
2-3 @ 4.99% (1.74 1.74)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-5.472 -5.47)
1-4 @ 3.36% (-3.489 -3.49)
2-4 @ 2.68% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-4 @ 2.1% (-6.122 -6.12)
1-5 @ 1.44% (-3.358 -3.36)
3-4 @ 1.43% (0.639 0.64)
2-5 @ 1.16% (-0.844 -0.84)
0-5 @ 0.9% (-4.864 -4.86)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 50.51%