Women's Champions League | First Round Third-Place Finals
Sep 7, 2024 at 4.45pm UK
Gradski Stadion

Crvena Zvezda
3 - 0
Breznica

Matejic (38', 38', 75', 82')
Spasojevic (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jankov (42'), Maras (55'), Dresevic (60'), Osmajic (85')
Coverage of the Women's Champions League First Round Third-Place Finals clash between LASK Crvena Zvezda Women and Breznica Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

LASK Crvena Zvezda Women

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Last Game: Anderlecht 4-1 Crvena Zvezda
Wednesday, September 4 at 4.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Breznica Women

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Last Game: Breznica 1-2 Birkirkara
Wednesday, September 4 at 8.15pm in Women's Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LASK Crvena Zvezda Women win with a probability of 82.55%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Breznica Women had a probability of 6.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a LASK Crvena Zvezda Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.38%), while for a Breznica Women win it was 1-2 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for LASK Crvena Zvezda Women in this match.

Result
LASK Crvena Zvezda WomenDrawBreznica Women
82.55% (38.288 38.29)10.64% (-12.011 -12.01)6.81% (-26.276 -26.28)
Both teams to score 58.61% (-7.026 -7.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.82% (14.867 14.87)20.17% (-14.866 -14.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.66% (18.694 18.69)38.34% (-18.692 -18.69)
LASK Crvena Zvezda Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.42% (12.843 12.84)3.58% (-12.8421 -12.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.49% (30.586 30.59)15.51% (-30.585 -30.59)
Breznica Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.79% (-17.748 -17.75)39.21% (17.748 17.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.08% (-21.43 -21.43)75.92% (21.431 21.43)
Score Analysis
    LASK Crvena Zvezda Women 82.55%
    Breznica Women 6.81%
    Draw 10.64%
LASK Crvena Zvezda WomenDrawBreznica Women
3-0 @ 8.64% (5.175 5.18)
3-1 @ 8.09% (2.758 2.76)
2-0 @ 7.78% (2.033 2.03)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-1.562 -1.56)
4-0 @ 7.19% (5.625 5.63)
4-1 @ 6.73% (4.324 4.32)
5-0 @ 4.79% (4.222 4.22)
1-0 @ 4.68% (-1.691 -1.69)
5-1 @ 4.48% (3.613 3.61)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.315 -0.32)
4-2 @ 3.15% (1.299 1.3)
6-0 @ 2.66% (2.486 2.49)
6-1 @ 2.49% (2.225 2.23)
5-2 @ 2.1% (1.429 1.43)
7-0 @ 1.26% (1.219 1.22)
7-1 @ 1.18% (1.115 1.12)
6-2 @ 1.16% (0.963 0.96)
4-3 @ 0.98% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 82.55%
1-1 @ 4.38% (-5.421 -5.42)
2-2 @ 3.41% (-3.398 -3.4)
0-0 @ 1.41% (-2.12 -2.12)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.923 -0.92)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 10.64%
1-2 @ 2.05% (-5.49 -5.49)
0-1 @ 1.32% (-4.109 -4.11)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-2.429 -2.43)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 6.81%